False Cause and Effect Fallacy

What is the false cause and effect fallacy?

The “cause” and effect trick claims that just because “thing 2” happened after “thing 1”, “thing 2” was caused by “thing 1” – when in reality, the two are wholly unrelated.

It’s a really common trick, and it’s easy to fall for.

These work best when they confirm a fear or reference something we don’t know much about.

For instance:

  • “Tampa never won the Super Bowl until I moved here. Therefore, Tampa won this year because of me!”
  • “I sneezed this morning, and later I stubbed my toe. Therefore, sneezing causes toe injuries.”
  • “Someone got the COVID vaccine, then died of a heart attack a month later. Therefore, the vaccine causes heart attacks.”

How do you avoid falling for the cause and effect?

If you don’t know the field, do a quick Google search and see what the experts have to say about it.

And remember: just because something happened after something else, doesn’t mean it was caused by it.

Related Cards